FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

169.85 – 48.65

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

78 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 317.1 ±11

10589Binary Crows

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 41.88Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7768The AutoMatons

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 46.36Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4779RoboSapiens

Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 81.61Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.7 ±13.3

10605Techno Talons

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 20.92Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9249Chassell Copper Country Cats

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 13.55Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6098bIrobot

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX 14.18Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10589, 7768, 4779

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10589, 7768, 4779

Auto

28.8 17%

Teleop

104.3 61%

Endgame

39.1 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10605, 9249, 6098

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10605, 9249, 6098

Auto

12.7 28%

Teleop

14.3 31%

Endgame

18.9 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score169.9pts

Blue projected score48.7pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 121.2
Score range: 24–195
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 118 vs event baseline 138.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

317.1Season APEX192.7

28.8Auto12.7

104.3Teleop14.3

39.1Endgame18.9

0Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	16
teleop	32	23
endgame	21	1
foul	0	0
total	78	40

Result

Final score

78 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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