Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
101.75 – 150.96
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
141 – 161
Prediction correct · off by 24.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.3 ±12.8
Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 67.76Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.3Event APEX -0.15Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 34.14Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.4 ±10.5
Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 12.78Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 79.32Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106Event APEX 58.86Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6637, 9733, 9548
56
/ 100 compatProjected
101.8 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6637, 9733, 9548
Auto
24.9 25%
Teleop
44.8 46%
Endgame
28.5 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5213, 6121, 10666
73
/ 100 compatProjected
151 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5213, 6121, 10666
Auto
27.9 19%
Teleop
80.3 55%
Endgame
37.5 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score101.8pts
Blue projected score151pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -49.2
- Score range
- 77–176
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
294.3Season APEX357.4
24.9Auto27.9
44.8Teleop80.3
28.5Endgame37.5
65Consistency133
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 40 |
| teleop | 61 | 92 |
| endgame | 51 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 141 | 161 |
Result
Final score
141 – 161
Prediction correct · off by 24.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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