FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

129.76 – 43.02

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

144 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 14.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.8 ±12.4

6112Cyberstangs

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 23.02Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5706Tahquamenon Phenomenon

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 20.77Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 85.97Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 154.3 ±13.3

5547The Talons

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 13.84Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5486Robotic Turmoil

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 23.31Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 5.87Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6112, 5706, 4967

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6112, 5706, 4967

Auto

14.5 12%

Teleop

75.4 60%

Endgame

34.8 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5547, 5486, 9682

/ 100 compat

Projected

43 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5547, 5486, 9682

Auto

6.1 19%

Teleop

13.7 42%

Endgame

12.8 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score129.8pts

Blue projected score43pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 86.7
Score range: 18–155
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 172 vs event baseline 138.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

261.8Season APEX154.3

14.5Auto6.1

75.4Teleop13.7

34.8Endgame12.8

53Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	4
teleop	68	11
endgame	36	8
foul	0	5
total	144	28

Result

Final score

144 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 14.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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