FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

113.64 – 69.29

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

278 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 96 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 360.8 ±11.7

4392The Deceivers

Season APEX 145.2Event APEX 57.78Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9722Polar Robotics

Season APEX 72Event APEX -9.88Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4779RoboSapiens

Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 65.74Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.1 ±12.2

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 73.21Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9249Chassell Copper Country Cats

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 10.97Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6113M.A.R.C. 1

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX -14.89Rank 41Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4392, 9722, 4779

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4392, 9722, 4779

Auto

31.1 27%

Teleop

71.5 61%

Endgame

14.0 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3452, 9249, 6113

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3452, 9249, 6113

Auto

12.1 18%

Teleop

41.4 62%

Endgame

13.7 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113.6pts

Blue projected score69.3pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 44.3
Score range: 44–139
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 375 vs event baseline 137.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

360.8Season APEX242.1

31.1Auto12.1

71.5Teleop41.4

14Endgame13.7

0Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	25
teleop	175	50
endgame	43	17
foul	10	5
total	278	97

Result

Final score

278 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 96 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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