FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

235.09 – 82.72

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

217 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 40.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 341.3 ±11.6

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 71.85Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8517Bounty Hunters

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 118.16Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10589Binary Crows

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 45.08Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.8 ±13.3

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 26.98Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5314Ice Bots

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 29.79Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10622Gwinn ModelBots

Season APEX 48Event APEX 25.95Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1596, 8517, 10589

/ 100 compat

Projected

235.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1596, 8517, 10589

Auto

40.9 17%

Teleop

144.4 61%

Endgame

49.8 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6558, 5314, 10622

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6558, 5314, 10622

Auto

11.6 14%

Teleop

37.0 43%

Endgame

36.6 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score235.1pts

Blue projected score82.7pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 152.4
Score range: 58–260
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 363 vs event baseline 137.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

341.3Season APEX173.8

40.9Auto11.6

144.4Teleop37

49.8Endgame36.6

47Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	38
teleop	139	64
endgame	27	34
foul	0	10
total	217	146

Result

Final score

217 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 40.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.