FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.76 – 198.42

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.5 ±12.2

9733Gold Diggers

Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 3.28Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7768The AutoMatons

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 45.49Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5213St. Ignace SHIELD

Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 16.99Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313 ±12.8

4398Gladiators

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 137.03Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10595Big Bay de Noc Black Bear Bolts

Season APEX 70.3Event APEX 23.41Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9548Bark River Bronconaughts

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 37.98Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9733, 7768, 5213

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9733, 7768, 5213

Auto

16.1 25%

Teleop

36.4 55%

Endgame

13.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4398, 10595, 9548

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4398, 10595, 9548

Auto

36.4 19%

Teleop

107.6 57%

Endgame

44.8 24%

Strengths

· 4398 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.8pts

Blue projected score198.4pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -132.7
Score range: 41–223
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 212 vs event baseline 137.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.5Season APEX313

16.1Auto36.4

36.4Teleop107.6

13.2Endgame44.8

87Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	48
teleop	31	55
endgame	10	49
foul	5	0
total	60	152

Result

Final score

60 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.