FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

219.39 – 205.96

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

300 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.4 ±11.7

6077Wiking Kujon

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 71.17Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 41.9Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 106.32Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 365.4 ±11.7

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 121.26Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6098bIrobot

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX 12.09Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 72.61Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6077, 7713, 3536

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6077, 7713, 3536

Auto

28.9 13%

Teleop

130.7 60%

Endgame

57.8 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5216, 6098, 9674

/ 100 compat

Projected

206 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5216, 6098, 9674

Auto

40.1 20%

Teleop

111.7 55%

Endgame

50.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score219.4pts

Blue projected score206pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 13.4
Score range: 182–243
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 526 vs event baseline 135.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

394.4Season APEX365.4

28.9Auto40.1

130.7Teleop111.7

57.8Endgame50

30Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	45
teleop	173	104
endgame	60	77
foul	5	0
total	300	226

Result

Final score

300 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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