FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.77 – 119.54

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 16.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.7 ±13.3

10605Techno Talons

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 23.11Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5878The Great Lakers

Season APEX 41.3Event APEX 10.1Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

857Superior Roboworks

Season APEX 103Event APEX 50.56Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 362.5 ±11.7

4375Westend Gearbusters

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 19.05Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 24.08Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 76.41Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10605, 5878, 857

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10605, 5878, 857

Auto

26.6 32%

Teleop

33.4 40%

Endgame

23.7 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4375, 4377, 6121

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4375, 4377, 6121

Auto

31.8 28%

Teleop

47.3 41%

Endgame

35.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.8pts

Blue projected score119.5pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -35.8
Score range: 60–144
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 237 vs event baseline 136.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219.7Season APEX362.5

26.6Auto31.8

33.4Teleop47.3

23.7Endgame35.3

61Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	46
teleop	48	70
endgame	17	30
foul	0	0
total	91	146

Result

Final score

91 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 16.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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