FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49 – 145.05

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 34.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 168.2 ±11.6

10622Gwinn ModelBots

Season APEX 48Event APEX 21.31Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5424Rogue Robots

Season APEX 39Event APEX 38.33Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6088Stephenson Eagles

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX -10.64Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 253.2 ±12.2

5706Tahquamenon Phenomenon

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 19.22Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 59.9Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 65.93Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10622, 5424, 6088

/ 100 compat

Projected

49 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10622, 5424, 6088

Auto

13.1 24%

Teleop

15.7 29%

Endgame

25.2 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5706, 10666, 7814

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5706, 10666, 7814

Auto

10.6 7%

Teleop

100.9 71%

Endgame

31.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49pts

Blue projected score145.1pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -96.1
Score range: 25–169
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 263 vs event baseline 136.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

168.2Season APEX253.2

13.1Auto10.6

15.7Teleop100.9

25.2Endgame31

86Consistency100

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	13
teleop	72	74
endgame	4	64
foul	0	15
total	97	166

Result

Final score

97 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 34.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.