FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

143.58 – 264.84

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

107 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.4 ±12.2

6077Wiking Kujon

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 74.6Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9733Gold Diggers

Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 6.3Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4392The Deceivers

Season APEX 145.2Event APEX 62.68Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 542.9 ±9.9

10589Binary Crows

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 42.87Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 118.75Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 103.22Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6077, 9733, 4392

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6077, 9733, 4392

Auto

31.5 22%

Teleop

78.2 54%

Endgame

35.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10589, 5216, 3536

/ 100 compat

Projected

264.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10589, 5216, 3536

Auto

44.0 17%

Teleop

172.8 65%

Endgame

49.1 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score143.6pts

Blue projected score264.8pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -121.3
Score range: 120–289
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 383 vs event baseline 135.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295.4Season APEX542.9

31.5Auto44

78.2Teleop172.8

35.4Endgame49.1

31Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	54
teleop	51	153
endgame	34	69
foul	0	0
total	107	276

Result

Final score

107 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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