Qualification · Qualification 6
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
63.09 – 67.48
49%51%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
29 – 26
Prediction missed · off by 37.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.8 ±13.9
Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 9.54Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 49.75Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.3Event APEX 3.8Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.8 ±13.3
Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 46.37Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 21.51Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.3Event APEX -0.4Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5547, 7713, 5878
42
/ 100 compatProjected
63.1 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5547, 7713, 5878
Auto
11.0 18%
Teleop
31.0 51%
Endgame
19.0 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10589, 10605, 9733
43
/ 100 compatProjected
67.5 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 10589, 10605, 9733
Auto
16.3 25%
Teleop
30.9 47%
Endgame
19.2 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score63.1pts
Blue projected score67.5pts
Red win probability49%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -4.4
- Score range
- 37–93
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
163.8Season APEX217.8
11Auto16.3
31Teleop30.9
19Endgame19.2
65Consistency39
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 4 | 10 |
| teleop | 14 | 10 |
| endgame | 11 | 1 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 29 | 26 |
Result
Final score
29 – 26
Prediction missed · off by 37.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.