FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

182.17 – 111.84

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

319 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 88.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.5 ±11.7

10605Techno Talons

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 8.55Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4398Gladiators

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 120.42Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4779RoboSapiens

Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 53.2Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.2 ±12.7

5486Robotic Turmoil

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 21.5Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 68.09Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 22.25Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10605, 4398, 4779

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10605, 4398, 4779

Auto

37.5 21%

Teleop

99.2 55%

Endgame

42.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5486, 9674, 6558

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5486, 9674, 6558

Auto

28.9 29%

Teleop

46.8 47%

Endgame

24.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score182.2pts

Blue projected score111.8pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 70.3
Score range: 88–206
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 471 vs event baseline 133.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

363.5Season APEX208.2

37.5Auto28.9

99.2Teleop46.8

42.2Endgame24.6

94Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	17
teleop	181	92
endgame	77	38
foul	0	5
total	319	152

Result

Final score

319 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 88.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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