FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

122.61 – 207.24

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

141 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 25.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 290.5 ±11.7

5424Rogue Robots

Season APEX 39Event APEX 35.53Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6098bIrobot

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX 9.81Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 77.27Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 326.4 ±12.2

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 21.89Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8517Bounty Hunters

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 121.24Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 64.11Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5424, 6098, 6121

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5424, 6098, 6121

Auto

27.8 23%

Teleop

60.3 49%

Endgame

34.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4377, 8517, 7814

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4377, 8517, 7814

Auto

30.8 15%

Teleop

115.4 57%

Endgame

56.4 28%

Strengths

· 8517 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 2.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.6pts

Blue projected score207.2pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -84.6
Score range: 99–231
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 381 vs event baseline 133.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

290.5Season APEX326.4

27.8Auto30.8

60.3Teleop115.4

34.6Endgame56.4

90Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	45
teleop	48	153
endgame	54	37
foul	5	5
total	141	240

Result

Final score

141 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 25.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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