FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

132.33 – 188.26

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

136 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 13 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230 ±11.7

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 61.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7768The AutoMatons

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 49.63Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5547The Talons

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 20.76Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.9 ±11.1

5486Robotic Turmoil

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 24.75Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 108.93Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

857Superior Roboworks

Season APEX 103Event APEX 54.58Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10666, 7768, 5547

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10666, 7768, 5547

Auto

12.9 10%

Teleop

84.5 66%

Endgame

29.7 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5486, 3536, 857

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5486, 3536, 857

Auto

37.6 21%

Teleop

110.9 61%

Endgame

33.4 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.3pts

Blue projected score188.3pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.9
Score range: 108–212
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 302 vs event baseline 134.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230Season APEX373.9

12.9Auto37.6

84.5Teleop110.9

29.7Endgame33.4

56Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	47
teleop	70	88
endgame	48	26
foul	0	5
total	136	166

Result

Final score

136 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 13 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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