FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

63.1 – 25.21

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

127 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.3 ±13.3

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 57.81Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9733Gold Diggers

Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 3.62Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6098bIrobot

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX 1.67Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 137.6 ±13.3

5424Rogue Robots

Season APEX 39Event APEX 27.59Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5706Tahquamenon Phenomenon

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 17.13Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6113M.A.R.C. 1

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX -19.51Rank 41Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7814, 9733, 6098

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7814, 9733, 6098

Auto

15.1 23%

Teleop

30.6 46%

Endgame

20.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5424, 5706, 6113

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5424, 5706, 6113

Auto

4.2 15%

Teleop

22.0 76%

Endgame

2.6 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score63.1pts

Blue projected score25.2pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.9
Score range: 1–87
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 135.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171.3Season APEX137.6

15.1Auto4.2

30.6Teleop22

20.4Endgame2.6

92Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	23
teleop	79	40
endgame	37	11
foul	5	0
total	127	74

Result

Final score

127 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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