FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.72 – 238.29

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

142 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 50 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.1 ±12.7

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 59.75Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5547The Talons

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 14.5Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4375Westend Gearbusters

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 7.47Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 487.6 ±9.3

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 78.84Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 86.5Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 72.95Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9674, 5547, 4375

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9674, 5547, 4375

Auto

16.7 22%

Teleop

30.7 41%

Endgame

27.1 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3452, 4967, 6121

/ 100 compat

Projected

238.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3452, 4967, 6121

Auto

49.8 21%

Teleop

132.4 56%

Endgame

54.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81.7pts

Blue projected score238.3pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -156.6
Score range: 58–262
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 420 vs event baseline 133.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219.1Season APEX487.6

16.7Auto49.8

30.7Teleop132.4

27.1Endgame54.1

53Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	21
teleop	61	149
endgame	39	93
foul	5	15
total	142	278

Result

Final score

142 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 50 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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