FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

100.28 – 166.82

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

88 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 189.6 ±12.1

4375Westend Gearbusters

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 13.02Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5213St. Ignace SHIELD

Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 16.49Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 70.77Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 305.2 ±11.7

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 48.3Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 31.75Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4779RoboSapiens

Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 86.77Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4375, 5213, 1596

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4375, 5213, 1596

Auto

22.2 21%

Teleop

64.4 61%

Endgame

19.7 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10666, 6558, 4779

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10666, 6558, 4779

Auto

26.0 15%

Teleop

101.9 60%

Endgame

40.7 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100.3pts

Blue projected score166.8pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.5
Score range: 74–193
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 195 vs event baseline 147.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

189.6Season APEX305.2

22.2Auto26

64.4Teleop101.9

19.7Endgame40.7

76Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	13
teleop	61	64
endgame	20	30
foul	0	0
total	88	107

Result

Final score

88 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.