FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

121.71 – 49.8

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

115 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 14 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 243.9 ±12.2

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 69.12Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

857Superior Roboworks

Season APEX 103Event APEX 52.79Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6098bIrobot

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX -0.2Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.3 ±13.3

9249Chassell Copper Country Cats

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 16.61Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 31.02Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9733Gold Diggers

Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 2.17Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10666, 857, 6098

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10666, 857, 6098

Auto

23.5 19%

Teleop

51.3 42%

Endgame

47.1 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9249, 6558, 9733

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9249, 6558, 9733

Auto

22.4 49%

Teleop

21.9 48%

Endgame

1.0 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score121.7pts

Blue projected score49.8pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.9
Score range: 26–146
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 186 vs event baseline 133.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

243.9Season APEX186.3

23.5Auto22.4

51.3Teleop21.9

47.1Endgame1

97Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	20
teleop	78	25
endgame	8	26
foul	0	0
total	115	71

Result

Final score

115 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 14 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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