FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

133 – 84.57

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

134 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 9.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.4 ±12.7

5486Robotic Turmoil

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 25.86Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9548Bark River Bronconaughts

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 39.31Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6077Wiking Kujon

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 67.83Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.3 ±13.3

5878The Great Lakers

Season APEX 41.3Event APEX 9.73Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 74.69Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 0.15Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5486, 9548, 6077

/ 100 compat

Projected

133 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5486, 9548, 6077

Auto

14.6 12%

Teleop

69.6 55%

Endgame

42.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5878, 1596, 9682

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5878, 1596, 9682

Auto

15.4 19%

Teleop

55.0 67%

Endgame

11.2 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133pts

Blue projected score84.6pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 48.4
Score range: 61–157
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 237 vs event baseline 131.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

256.4Season APEX171.3

14.6Auto15.4

69.6Teleop55

42.3Endgame11.2

2Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	22
teleop	67	71
endgame	41	10
foul	15	0
total	134	103

Result

Final score

134 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 9.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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