FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.83 – 87.22

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

209 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 46 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 334.7 ±11.2

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 70.45Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 68.02Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 22.36Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 243.6 ±12.2

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 70.61Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10622Gwinn ModelBots

Season APEX 48Event APEX 15.78Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10605Techno Talons

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 0.83Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4967, 10666, 7713

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4967, 10666, 7713

Auto

25.5 16%

Teleop

98.6 63%

Endgame

32.7 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3452, 10622, 10605

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3452, 10622, 10605

Auto

4.3 5%

Teleop

55.4 67%

Endgame

23.3 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.8pts

Blue projected score87.2pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.6
Score range: 63–185
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 130.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

334.7Season APEX243.6

25.5Auto4.3

98.6Teleop55.4

32.7Endgame23.3

74Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	18
teleop	113	44
endgame	52	69
foul	10	0
total	209	131

Result

Final score

209 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 46 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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