Qualification · Qualification 4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
84.71 – 185.88
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
51 – 213
Prediction correct · off by 30.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 183.8 ±12.7
Season APEX 39.5Event APEX -12.59Rank 41Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48Event APEX 26.75Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 70.55Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 365.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 41.42Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 27.12Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 117.34Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6113, 10622, 9674
51
/ 100 compatProjected
84.7 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6113, 10622, 9674
Auto
23.6 29%
Teleop
44.0 53%
Endgame
15.2 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7768, 6112, 5216
74
/ 100 compatProjected
185.9 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7768, 6112, 5216
Auto
30.1 17%
Teleop
104.3 58%
Endgame
46.6 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score84.7pts
Blue projected score185.9pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -101.2
- Score range
- 59–212
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
183.8Season APEX365.5
23.6Auto30.1
44Teleop104.3
15.2Endgame46.6
123Consistency54
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 33 |
| teleop | 20 | 137 |
| endgame | 20 | 38 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 51 | 213 |
Result
Final score
51 – 213
Prediction correct · off by 30.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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