FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.55 – 126.98

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 25.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 183.9 ±12.7

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 50.9Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6113M.A.R.C. 1

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX -9.14Rank 41Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5486Robotic Turmoil

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 23.79Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.2 ±13.3

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 9.34Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 72.99Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9548Bark River Bronconaughts

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 44.65Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7814, 6113, 5486

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7814, 6113, 5486

Auto

9.2 16%

Teleop

33.4 60%

Endgame

13.4 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4377, 9674, 9548

/ 100 compat

Projected

127 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4377, 9674, 9548

Auto

23.9 19%

Teleop

60.3 47%

Endgame

43.2 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.6pts

Blue projected score127pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61.4
Score range: 43–150
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 130.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

183.9Season APEX262.2

9.2Auto23.9

33.4Teleop60.3

13.4Endgame43.2

58Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	29
teleop	49	43
endgame	22	5
foul	0	15
total	81	92

Result

Final score

81 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 25.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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