FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

130.1 – 108.23

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

136 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.8 ±11.7

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX -2.67Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4375Westend Gearbusters

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 17.87Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 114.9Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.8 ±11.7

5314Ice Bots

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 31.49Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6088Stephenson Eagles

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX -2.2Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7768The AutoMatons

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 78.94Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9682, 4375, 5216

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9682, 4375, 5216

Auto

17.9 14%

Teleop

73.5 56%

Endgame

39.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5314, 6088, 7768

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5314, 6088, 7768

Auto

9.1 8%

Teleop

60.6 55%

Endgame

41.3 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score130.1pts

Blue projected score108.2pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.9
Score range: 84–154
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 178 vs event baseline 131.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

365.8Season APEX230.8

17.9Auto9.1

73.5Teleop60.6

39.5Endgame41.3

108Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	19
teleop	64	16
endgame	14	7
foul	15	0
total	136	42

Result

Final score

136 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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