Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
113.91 – 152.85
38%62%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
84 – 219
Prediction correct · off by 48 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 39Event APEX 17.54Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 12.59Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 83.78Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 22.77Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 73.75Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 145.2Event APEX 56.33Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5424, 4377, 7768
59
/ 100 compatProjected
113.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5424, 4377, 7768
Auto
24.4 21%
Teleop
57.5 51%
Endgame
31.7 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7713, 6637, 4392
71
/ 100 compatProjected
152.9 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 7713, 6637, 4392
Auto
40.3 27%
Teleop
81.8 55%
Endgame
27.0 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score113.9pts
Blue projected score152.9pts
Red win probability38%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -38.9
- Score range
- 91–176
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
186.1Season APEX370.9
24.4Auto40.3
57.5Teleop81.8
31.7Endgame27
31Consistency46
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 45 |
| teleop | 48 | 128 |
| endgame | 19 | 36 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 84 | 219 |
Result
Final score
84 – 219
Prediction correct · off by 48 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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