FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

125.09 – 39.62

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

163 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.4 ±12.1

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 63.29Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

857Superior Roboworks

Season APEX 103Event APEX 32.76Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10589Binary Crows

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 29.04Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188 ±12.2

9722Polar Robotics

Season APEX 72Event APEX 9.03Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6088Stephenson Eagles

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 1.26Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5213St. Ignace SHIELD

Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 29.33Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9674, 857, 10589

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9674, 857, 10589

Auto

42.3 33%

Teleop

64.9 51%

Endgame

20.8 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9722, 6088, 5213

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9722, 6088, 5213

Auto

11.3 29%

Teleop

8.0 20%

Endgame

20.1 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score125.1pts

Blue projected score39.6pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 85.5
Score range: 17–148
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 187 vs event baseline 129.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

293.4Season APEX188

42.3Auto11.3

64.9Teleop8

20.8Endgame20.1

33Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	0
teleop	74	21
endgame	55	3
foul	0	0
total	163	24

Result

Final score

163 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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