FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

224.7 – 76.58

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

192 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 44.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 443.5 ±10.5

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 85.6Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4398Gladiators

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 115.63Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9249Chassell Copper Country Cats

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 23.47Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 183.7 ±12.7

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 52.08Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5706Tahquamenon Phenomenon

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 17.45Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10622Gwinn ModelBots

Season APEX 48Event APEX 7.05Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6121, 4398, 9249

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6121, 4398, 9249

Auto

48.6 23%

Teleop

123.4 57%

Endgame

42.8 20%

Strengths

· 4398 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1596, 5706, 10622

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1596, 5706, 10622

Auto

2.2 3%

Teleop

58.6 77%

Endgame

15.4 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score224.7pts

Blue projected score76.6pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 148.1
Score range: 54–248
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 325 vs event baseline 128.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

443.5Season APEX183.7

48.6Auto2.2

123.4Teleop58.6

42.8Endgame15.4

87Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	15
teleop	103	87
endgame	23	31
foul	0	0
total	192	133

Result

Final score

192 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 44.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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