FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.09 – 109.42

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.9 ±13.3

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 10.25Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 14.2Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6077Wiking Kujon

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 62.64Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 276.3 ±12.2

4779RoboSapiens

Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 51.37Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 48.12Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5547The Talons

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 9.93Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9682, 6558, 6077

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9682, 6558, 6077

Auto

-3.8 0%

Teleop

42.3 49%

Endgame

48.6 56%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4779, 7814, 5547

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4779, 7814, 5547

Auto

20.5 19%

Teleop

73.1 68%

Endgame

13.2 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.1pts

Blue projected score109.4pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -22.3
Score range: 64–132
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 129.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.9Season APEX276.3

-3.8Auto20.5

42.3Teleop73.1

48.6Endgame13.2

2Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	9
teleop	41	69
endgame	12	40
foul	0	0
total	70	118

Result

Final score

70 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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