FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

72.57 – 12.45

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

234 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 95 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 352.5 ±12.4

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX -22.07Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 87.53Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5314Ice Bots

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 7.11Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.5 ±13.9

9733Gold Diggers

Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 1.99Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5878The Great Lakers

Season APEX 41.3Event APEX -3.73Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6112Cyberstangs

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 14.19Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4377, 3536, 5314

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4377, 3536, 5314

Auto

2.8 4%

Teleop

49.8 68%

Endgame

20.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9733, 5878, 6112

/ 100 compat

Projected

12.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9733, 5878, 6112

Auto

9.1 80%

Teleop

8.5 75%

Endgame

-6.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.6pts

Blue projected score12.5pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 60.1
Score range: -11–96
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 275 vs event baseline 129.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

352.5Season APEX141.5

2.8Auto9.1

49.8Teleop8.5

20.6Endgame-6.2

169Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	23
teleop	129	7
endgame	61	11
foul	0	0
total	234	41

Result

Final score

234 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 95 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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