FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.71 – 183.5

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 12.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 189.4 ±13.3

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 32.04Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6098bIrobot

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX -8.31Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 42.98Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 348.1 ±11

6088Stephenson Eagles

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 8.4Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 72.79Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8517Bounty Hunters

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 102.31Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7713, 6098, 1596

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7713, 6098, 1596

Auto

5.9 9%

Teleop

56.2 86%

Endgame

3.3 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6088, 9674, 8517

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6088, 9674, 8517

Auto

40.9 22%

Teleop

105.6 57%

Endgame

38.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score66.7pts

Blue projected score183.5pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -116.8
Score range: 44–207
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 129.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

189.4Season APEX348.1

5.9Auto40.9

56.2Teleop105.6

3.3Endgame38.1

54Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	55
teleop	28	85
endgame	33	61
foul	0	0
total	75	201

Result

Final score

75 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 12.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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