FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

212.75 – 97.5

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

208 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.3 ±11.7

4398Gladiators

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 111.07Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 11.42Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7768The AutoMatons

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 90.26Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194 ±11.6

5213St. Ignace SHIELD

Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 10Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 89.09Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5424Rogue Robots

Season APEX 39Event APEX -1.59Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4398, 9682, 7768

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4398, 9682, 7768

Auto

37.2 18%

Teleop

116.9 57%

Endgame

52.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5213, 3452, 5424

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5213, 3452, 5424

Auto

20.1 21%

Teleop

66.5 70%

Endgame

8.0 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score212.8pts

Blue projected score97.5pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.3
Score range: 75–236
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 355 vs event baseline 127.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.3Season APEX194

37.2Auto20.1

116.9Teleop66.5

52.2Endgame8

61Consistency106

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	26
teleop	104	71
endgame	63	50
foul	5	0
total	208	147

Result

Final score

208 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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