FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

203.6 – 93.42

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

161 – 180

Prediction missed · off by 64.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 368.8 ±11.2

6637BetaWolves

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 80.65Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5314Ice Bots

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 16.09Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 106.86Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.3 ±11.7

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 2.91Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 61.49Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 29.02Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6637, 5314, 4967

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6637, 5314, 4967

Auto

51.6 25%

Teleop

101.0 50%

Endgame

49.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6558, 6121, 7814

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6558, 6121, 7814

Auto

6.3 7%

Teleop

54.8 61%

Endgame

28.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score203.6pts

Blue projected score93.4pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 110.2
Score range: 70–227
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 341 vs event baseline 125.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

368.8Season APEX360.3

51.6Auto6.3

101Teleop54.8

49.9Endgame28.2

112Consistency149

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	26
teleop	85	113
endgame	55	41
foul	0	0
total	161	180

Result

Final score

161 – 180

Prediction missed · off by 64.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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