FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.87 – 155.84

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

105 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.8 ±11.6

10622Gwinn ModelBots

Season APEX 48Event APEX -10.91Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4779RoboSapiens

Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 48.45Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4375Westend Gearbusters

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 36.33Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.4 ±12.4

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 80.44Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9548Bark River Bronconaughts

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 64.37Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5547The Talons

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 11.03Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10622, 4779, 4375

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10622, 4779, 4375

Auto

5.6 7%

Teleop

51.3 65%

Endgame

22.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3536, 9548, 5547

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3536, 9548, 5547

Auto

12.8 9%

Teleop

86.0 58%

Endgame

48.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.9pts

Blue projected score155.8pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -82
Score range: 51–179
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 284 vs event baseline 125.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

269.8Season APEX357.4

5.6Auto12.8

51.3Teleop86

22Endgame48.4

127Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	26
teleop	49	121
endgame	49	32
foul	0	0
total	105	179

Result

Final score

105 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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