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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.64162.87

24%76%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47318

Prediction correct · off by 88.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.7 ±12.7
Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 53.76Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.3Event APEX 2.83Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39Event APEX 13.05Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 351.9 ±11
Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 53.52Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 70.43Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 38.92Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9249, 5878, 5424
41
/ 100 compat
Projected
69.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9249, 5878, 5424
Auto
31.3 43%
Teleop
37.1 51%
Endgame
4.0 6%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7768, 8517, 6077
78
/ 100 compat
Projected
162.9 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7768, 8517, 6077
Auto
20.7 13%
Teleop
96.0 58%
Endgame
47.6 29%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score69.6pts
Blue projected score162.9pts
Red win probability24%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-93.2
Score range
48185
Upset likelihood
24%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 365 vs event baseline 123.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.7Season APEX351.9
31.3Auto20.7
37.1Teleop96
4Endgame47.6
39Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1453
teleop16182
endgame1783
foul00
total47318

Result

Final score

47318

Prediction correct · off by 88.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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