FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

94 – 78.69

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 191

Prediction missed · off by 65.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.1 ±12.8

6098bIrobot

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX -9.26Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 24.93Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6637BetaWolves

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 78.33Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 272.5 ±12.2

5314Ice Bots

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX -2.48Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 36.73Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 44.44Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6098, 9682, 6637

/ 100 compat

Projected

94 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6098, 9682, 6637

Auto

20.4 24%

Teleop

34.6 41%

Endgame

30.4 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5314, 9674, 10666

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5314, 9674, 10666

Auto

6.4 8%

Teleop

29.4 37%

Endgame

44.7 56%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94pts

Blue projected score78.7pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15.3
Score range: 57–116
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 122.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.1Season APEX272.5

20.4Auto6.4

34.6Teleop29.4

30.4Endgame44.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	36
teleop	32	111
endgame	20	44
foul	0	0
total	76	191

Result

Final score

76 – 191

Prediction missed · off by 65.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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