FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.44 – 176.19

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

4 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 73.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 200.8 ±12.8

6088Stephenson Eagles

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 14.73Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6112Cyberstangs

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 66.8Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX -21.09Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.4 ±10.5

10589Binary Crows

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 11.47Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4398Gladiators

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 101.76Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 62.96Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6088, 6112, 4377

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6088, 6112, 4377

Auto

14.3 23%

Teleop

35.2 58%

Endgame

11.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10589, 4398, 4967

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10589, 4398, 4967

Auto

37.1 22%

Teleop

90.4 53%

Endgame

44.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60.4pts

Blue projected score176.2pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -115.7
Score range: 38–198
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 270 vs event baseline 121.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

200.8Season APEX389.4

14.3Auto37.1

35.2Teleop90.4

11.4Endgame44

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	65
teleop	4	151
endgame	0	50
foul	0	0
total	4	266

Result

Final score

4 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 73.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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