FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.46 – 159.42

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240 ±13.3

857Superior Roboworks

Season APEX 103Event APEX 59.43Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 19.58Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5706Tahquamenon Phenomenon

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX -9.55Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 340.4 ±11

4779RoboSapiens

Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 53.04Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 21.78Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 84.6Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 857, 7713, 5706

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 857, 7713, 5706

Auto

18.6 25%

Teleop

45.4 60%

Endgame

11.4 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4779, 1596, 3452

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4779, 1596, 3452

Auto

21.0 14%

Teleop

112.7 73%

Endgame

21.2 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.5pts

Blue projected score159.4pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -90
Score range: 47–181
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 302 vs event baseline 120.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240Season APEX340.4

18.6Auto21

45.4Teleop112.7

11.4Endgame21.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	24
teleop	44	168
endgame	22	19
foul	5	0
total	91	211

Result

Final score

91 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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