FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 93.89

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

127 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 65.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297.4 ±12.4

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 24.84Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6113M.A.R.C. 1

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX -11.14Rank 41Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5878The Great Lakers

Season APEX 41.3Event APEX -21.02Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.1 ±12.7

5213St. Ignace SHIELD

Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 25.81Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6077Wiking Kujon

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 49.94Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10605Techno Talons

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 18.14Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6121, 6113, 5878

/ 100 compat

Projected

-7.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6121, 6113, 5878

Auto

4.8 0%

Teleop

-9.9 100%

Endgame

4.7 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5213, 6077, 10605

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5213, 6077, 10605

Auto

0.3 0%

Teleop

61.7 68%

Endgame

28.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-7.3pts

Blue projected score93.9pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.9
Score range: -22–116
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 224 vs event baseline 120.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297.4Season APEX212.1

4.8Auto0.3

-9.9Teleop61.7

4.7Endgame28.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	13
teleop	81	54
endgame	11	30
foul	0	0
total	127	97

Result

Final score

127 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 65.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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