FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.22 – 114.66

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

53 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 77.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 172.2 ±13.9

9722Polar Robotics

Season APEX 72Event APEX 28.63Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5547The Talons

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 32.91Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 13.68Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 477.6 ±11.2

4392The Deceivers

Season APEX 145.2Event APEX 11.74Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 69.05Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9548Bark River Bronconaughts

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 33.87Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9722, 5547, 6558

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9722, 5547, 6558

Auto

23.0 30%

Teleop

40.4 53%

Endgame

13.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4392, 5216, 9548

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4392, 5216, 9548

Auto

27.8 25%

Teleop

58.1 52%

Endgame

26.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.2pts

Blue projected score114.7pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -39.4
Score range: 53–137
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 301 vs event baseline 120.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

172.2Season APEX477.6

23Auto27.8

40.4Teleop58.1

13.4Endgame26.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	42
teleop	14	155
endgame	14	51
foul	20	0
total	53	248

Result

Final score

53 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 77.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.