FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

131.7 – 49.82

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

181 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 62.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 259.8 ±12.2

6077Wiking Kujon

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 44.18Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6112Cyberstangs

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 56.58Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 30.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.3 ±12.2

5213St. Ignace SHIELD

Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 12.08Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4779RoboSapiens

Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 30.94Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 6.8Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6077, 6112, 10666

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6077, 6112, 10666

Auto

15.4 12%

Teleop

72.1 56%

Endgame

42.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5213, 4779, 7713

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5213, 4779, 7713

Auto

5.1 11%

Teleop

26.1 54%

Endgame

16.9 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score131.7pts

Blue projected score49.8pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 81.9
Score range: 30–152
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 307 vs event baseline 108.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

259.8Season APEX256.3

15.4Auto5.1

72.1Teleop26.1

42Endgame16.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	20
teleop	112	87
endgame	51	19
foul	0	0
total	181	126

Result

Final score

181 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 62.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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