FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

50.75 – 40.54

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

89 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 26.4 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.2 ±12.2

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 16.88Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10605Techno Talons

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 0.11Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6088Stephenson Eagles

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 33.76Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.8 ±13.9

9733Gold Diggers

Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 0.11Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 39Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5706Tahquamenon Phenomenon

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 1.43Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1596, 10605, 6088

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1596, 10605, 6088

Auto

14.1 28%

Teleop

25.2 51%

Endgame

10.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9733, 9682, 5706

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9733, 9682, 5706

Auto

2.8 7%

Teleop

17.1 46%

Endgame

17.6 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score50.8pts

Blue projected score40.5pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 10.2
Score range: 21–71
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 115 vs event baseline 113.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.2Season APEX160.8

14.1Auto2.8

25.2Teleop17.1

10.3Endgame17.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	6
teleop	70	17
endgame	12	3
foul	0	0
total	89	26

Result

Final score

89 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 26.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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