FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

117.95 – 229.57

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

116 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 1.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 239.7 ±13.3

9548Bark River Bronconaughts

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 40.21Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 71.51Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 6.23Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 467.6 ±10.5

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 103.67Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9249Chassell Copper Country Cats

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 14.34Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8517Bounty Hunters

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 111.56Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9548, 7814, 9682

/ 100 compat

Projected

118 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9548, 7814, 9682

Auto

9.3 8%

Teleop

64.8 58%

Endgame

38.3 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3536, 9249, 8517

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3536, 9249, 8517

Auto

54.8 23%

Teleop

140.2 59%

Endgame

41.4 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score118pts

Blue projected score229.6pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.6
Score range: 92–256
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 346 vs event baseline 147.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

239.7Season APEX467.6

9.3Auto54.8

64.8Teleop140.2

38.3Endgame41.4

72Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	1	49
teleop	58	136
endgame	52	40
foul	5	5
total	116	230

Result

Final score

116 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 1.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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