FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

177.77 – 177.74

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

224 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 46.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 441.4 ±9.8

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 90.32Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6088Stephenson Eagles

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 2.56Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4779RoboSapiens

Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 84.89Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.8 ±11

8517Bounty Hunters

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 113.04Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4375Westend Gearbusters

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 14.78Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 49.92Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6121, 6088, 4779

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6121, 6088, 4779

Auto

45.2 27%

Teleop

87.5 52%

Endgame

35.9 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8517, 4375, 10666

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8517, 4375, 10666

Auto

36.6 18%

Teleop

115.9 57%

Endgame

49.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score177.8pts

Blue projected score177.7pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 152–204
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 355 vs event baseline 146.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

441.4Season APEX354.8

45.2Auto36.6

87.5Teleop115.9

35.9Endgame49.3

29Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	27
teleop	138	42
endgame	23	57
foul	5	5
total	224	131

Result

Final score

224 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 46.5 pts

Match videos

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