FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

568.25 – 283.76

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

371 – 221

Prediction correct · off by 130 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 738.8 ±9.5

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 194.67Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 31.65Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 341.93Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 499.7 ±11.7

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 61.03Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 123.26Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 99.47Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3538, 8115, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

568.3 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3538, 8115, 27

Auto

130.0 23%

Teleop

320.6 56%

Endgame

119.9 21%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4405, 9572, 7174

/ 100 compat

Projected

283.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4405, 9572, 7174

Auto

67.4 24%

Teleop

135.7 48%

Endgame

80.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.72 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score568.3pts

Blue projected score283.8pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 284.5
Score range: 248–604
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 592 vs event baseline 202.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

738.8Season APEX499.7

130Auto67.4

320.6Teleop135.7

119.9Endgame80.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	71
teleop	192	97
endgame	108	18
foul	5	35
total	371	221

Result

Final score

371 – 221

Prediction correct · off by 130 pts

Match videos

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