Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
262.7 – 154.52
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
205 – 192
Prediction correct · off by 47.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.4 ±11
Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 74.88Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 82.25Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 118Event APEX 105.57Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.7 ±11.6
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 30.52Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 30.93Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 93.07Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 123, 6914, 5533
72
/ 100 compatProjected
262.7 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 123, 6914, 5533
Auto
37.3 14%
Teleop
148.8 57%
Endgame
73.3 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9751, 8426, 5843
50
/ 100 compatProjected
154.5 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9751, 8426, 5843
Auto
21.4 14%
Teleop
82.4 55%
Endgame
47.3 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 1.19
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score262.7pts
Blue projected score154.5pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 108.2
- Score range
- 119–299
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
313.4Season APEX307.7
37.3Auto21.4
148.8Teleop82.4
73.3Endgame47.3
8Consistency40
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 50 | 28 |
| teleop | 120 | 103 |
| endgame | 30 | 61 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 205 | 192 |
Result
Final score
205 – 192
Prediction correct · off by 47.6 pts
Match videos
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