FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

255.93 – 179.34

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

385 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 65.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 499.7 ±11.7

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX 51.88Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 114.26Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7174Charger Robotics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 89.79Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 279.7 ±12.1

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 78.08Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5559Gear Grinders

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 45.43Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2832The Livonia Warriors

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 55.83Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4405, 9572, 7174

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4405, 9572, 7174

Auto

65.6 26%

Teleop

116.9 46%

Endgame

72.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1250, 5559, 2832

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1250, 5559, 2832

Auto

24.1 14%

Teleop

102.8 58%

Endgame

49.3 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score255.9pts

Blue projected score179.3pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.6
Score range: 143–292
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 562 vs event baseline 198.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

499.7Season APEX279.7

65.6Auto24.1

116.9Teleop102.8

72.6Endgame49.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	20
teleop	198	90
endgame	110	67
foul	0	0
total	385	177

Result

Final score

385 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 65.7 pts

Match videos

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