FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

591.44 – 192.99

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

500 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 60.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 738.8 ±9.5

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 203.05Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 39.11Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 349.28Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.5 ±12.7

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX 26.41Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7553OSTC - SWEET BOTS

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 78.55Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6861The Tyros Team

Season APEX 126.8Event APEX 88.03Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3538, 8115, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

591.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3538, 8115, 27

Auto

126.2 21%

Teleop

336.6 57%

Endgame

131.1 22%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7147, 7553, 6861

/ 100 compat

Projected

193 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7147, 7553, 6861

Auto

15.0 8%

Teleop

113.5 60%

Endgame

59.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.74 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score591.4pts

Blue projected score193pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 398.5
Score range: 158–626
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 722 vs event baseline 196.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

738.8Season APEX311.5

126.2Auto15

336.6Teleop113.5

131.1Endgame59.6

0Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	151	27
teleop	265	99
endgame	84	91
foul	0	5
total	500	222

Result

Final score

500 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 60.2 pts

Match videos

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