FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

344.22 – 291.19

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

278 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 53.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 577.8 ±9.9

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 13.23Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 173.88Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 157.11Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 652.2 ±9.9

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 123.61Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 9.17Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 158.41Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5050, 3414, 1189

/ 100 compat

Projected

344.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5050, 3414, 1189

Auto

76.4 22%

Teleop

193.6 57%

Endgame

70.8 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5907, 830, 6152

/ 100 compat

Projected

291.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5907, 830, 6152

Auto

73.0 25%

Teleop

148.1 52%

Endgame

66.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score344.2pts

Blue projected score291.2pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53
Score range: 254–381
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 529 vs event baseline 208.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

577.8Season APEX652.2

76.4Auto73

193.6Teleop148.1

70.8Endgame66.2

19Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	89
teleop	147	86
endgame	83	76
foul	0	0
total	278	251

Result

Final score

278 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 53.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.