FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

288.37 – 254.25

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

308 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 652.2 ±9.9

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 122.56Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

830The RatPack

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 8.23Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 157.58Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.4 ±11

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 72.02Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6914Retro5ive

Season APEX 88.6Event APEX 78.57Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5533Electric Horse Power

Season APEX 118Event APEX 103.66Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5907, 830, 6152

/ 100 compat

Projected

288.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5907, 830, 6152

Auto

71.0 25%

Teleop

150.8 53%

Endgame

62.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 123, 6914, 5533

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 123, 6914, 5533

Auto

40.4 16%

Teleop

141.0 57%

Endgame

67.9 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.95 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score288.4pts

Blue projected score254.2pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 34.1
Score range: 217–325
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 519 vs event baseline 207.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

652.2Season APEX313.4

71Auto40.4

150.8Teleop141

62.2Endgame67.9

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	48
teleop	125	90
endgame	95	73
foul	0	0
total	308	211

Result

Final score

308 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 pts

Match videos

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