FIM District Livonia Event presented by Aisin

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

537.57 – 342.63

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

563 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 18.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 738.8 ±9.5

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 183.82Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 21.43Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 332.32Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 577.8 ±9.9

5050Cow Town Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 12.92Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 173.06Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 156.65Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3538, 8115, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

537.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3538, 8115, 27

Auto

118.8 22%

Teleop

301.3 56%

Endgame

119.1 22%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5050, 3414, 1189

/ 100 compat

Projected

342.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5050, 3414, 1189

Auto

75.0 22%

Teleop

198.0 58%

Endgame

65.6 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score537.6pts

Blue projected score342.6pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 194.9
Score range: 306–575
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 917 vs event baseline 204.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

738.8Season APEX577.8

118.8Auto75

301.3Teleop198

119.1Endgame65.6

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	164	86
teleop	313	166
endgame	71	102
foul	15	0
total	563	354

Result

Final score

563 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 18.4 pts

Match videos

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