Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
103.98 – 122.58
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
135 – 219
Prediction correct · off by 63.7 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 443 ±12.4
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 57.14Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 57.71Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -10.87Rank 41Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 334.4 ±12.4
Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 61.11Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 3.76Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 57.71Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10664, 5907, 8623
52
/ 100 compatProjected
104 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 10664, 5907, 8623
Auto
22.2 21%
Teleop
62.1 59%
Endgame
20.7 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3414, 11455, 2604
56
/ 100 compatProjected
122.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3414, 11455, 2604
Auto
35.4 29%
Teleop
66.2 55%
Endgame
19.5 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score104pts
Blue projected score122.6pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -18.6
- Score range
- 73–154
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
443Season APEX334.4
22.2Auto35.4
62.1Teleop66.2
20.7Endgame19.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 14 |
| teleop | 65 | 113 |
| endgame | 39 | 92 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 135 | 219 |
Result
Final score
135 – 219
Prediction correct · off by 63.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.